If we would like to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is a great sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers plus some nice guaranteed profitable bets are available if you know when and where to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your cash from you and there are many inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in lots of ways talk about timing. The quicker the cost appears the much more likely you will see a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do lots of research as soccer has turn into a big earner to them. They need to do that as they are only too conscious of the serious punters have become much shrewder in this market and can exploit any snippets of news that could give them a good edge. They advertise heavily within the tabloids.
Whereas in some minor sports there may be just one single odds compiler employed by the bookmaker soccer is just too lucrative with this any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for your big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will offer you odds on soccer, its a very high revenue turnover sport.
Such is their turnover on the rising IBO88 that Ladbrokes and other such big bookmakers are willing to have a ‘big’ bet on the results of a match. This can be clearly great news for that arb maker. This means that the highest bets they will accept over a bet are many higher.
There are numerous types of soccer bets. Firstly you have the match winner. This really is split into 3 results, win, lose or draw. Then there are the initial goal scorer as well as the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full-time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total amounts of yellow and red cards and so forth. In reality anything where odds can be set to will offer a betting opportunity.
So what are the best soccer bets to search for? Firstly just forget about predicting the match score, you will find too many outcomes. The initial goal scorer is a waste of time too. Both these kinds of bets are heavily advertised however are for mug punters only, the chances consistently available are poor, the bookmakers regularly overtaking 15% profit on the book. These bets have too many possible outcomes. We are looking for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The best way to play the soccer marketplace is to open accounts with European bookmakers as the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is an excellent source of sure bets. They both have strong opinions with this sport. They will price the sport in their own country and also the matches in foreign countries. Anything to make a profit.
Italy, for example is even more soccer crazy than the UK, with newspapers focused on the sport. Everyone thinks they know best about this subject and egos get in the form of sensible pricing. This really is great news for us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where as they may well have greater detailed expertise in the comings and goings in their own countries they may be relying on third parties to collate information on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is in midweek games between teams of different nationalities. You will find a tendency in punters to obtain patriotic when it comes to events where the opposition are ‘foreign’. The chances of the home team get talked up as well as the odds might get skewed within their favour as the weight of income is overly wagered in their direction.
Having said that the large bookmakers provide an early price, they are going to often advertise it inside the national papers and by and large stick into it. Which means that a bench mark has become set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or attempt to tempt money in their direction by giving different odds. If this type of would happen the arb may be around for a large amount of time.
You will always find discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers tend to stick across the same price. They figure there exists safety in numbers. But remember they are ‘guessing’ just what the odds ought to be just like you and also me. They may be basing their opinion on past experience and they also might utilise statistical formulae nevertheless they still need to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can get it wrong along with other firms can require a totally different look at the end result of the game. An entirely different view will only result in a slight variation within the odds but this can be sufficient to provide a sure bet profit.
Another approach is first of all the better obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They will be protected by a variety of bookmakers all over Europe. This will however put in a complication. Although quite simple for finding arbs, the mere fact that you pay attention to these obscure matches will throw the possibility that you will get spotted by the bookmakers if you concentrate your action here.
Also they will be hesitant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they may have done little research. On the other hand this is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You should weigh up the pros and cons with this strategy.
This can be a fairly obscure section of betting and if someone was to check your bank account over numerous months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your account it could ring alarm bells. The motto is to dilute the bets by betting on as numerous different kind of sport and events as is possible so your accounts have varied bets upon them. This shouldn’t be a problem as much different sports are ideal for sure bets.
The more prominent European ties may also produce arbs and they are less likely to bring in focus on you and also the maximum bets is going to be higher.
As before you can not control whether or not the individual bets win or lose but soccer is really a 3 way result therefore 2 losing bets to one winning one can be of use on your own account. The point the following is that not many people are thinking about the lower European divisions and it may become clear the betting pattern is a little unusual. This is especially true if your bets for the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be considered a lucrative area in soccer. Consider it. In case a player fails a late fitness test on a Saturday and he will be the teams star striker this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play at the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am not saying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. However the odds on the game clearly changed the moment this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert for this and altered prices as the money poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted at all. Either way arbs were available. This kind of last minute frantic activity is particularly keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair in which you can act as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through among the many soccer internet sites. Alternatively satellite television stations always have comprehensive news coverage of all games and they are quick to offer any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, however, not all simultaneously, only one at a time so creating sure bets.
In this scenario where costs are changing bet on the old price first. The new price is the one that wont change the previous price is the one which is going to and thus may be lost if you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be about timing. When chances are first produced or have reason to change then the arbs are more inclined to appear.
Recently the English referees are becoming more lenient inside the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for your total number of bookings in a game. Some of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly as well as others failed to. This can change the bet ranges requested total bookings.
Let’s consider the red and yellow card market. Should you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for a yellow card and 25 points to get a red. A player can get yourself a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting here is normally split into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say odds of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 as well as over 30 points, by far the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a record of animosity involving the teams by which case chances are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this sort of bet will never figure strongly in your plans. And it also is unusual to find information being issued that can change the total bookings bet. But a simple part of news like the insurance policy for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to one or more arb. The actual final outcome is not really can be expected excessive sure betting activity from your issuing of red and yellow cards however it not so difficult to check the chances.